empty
26.02.2025 12:09 PM
Have the Worst Times Arrived for the Cryptocurrency Market? (There is a possibility of further declines in gold and Bitcoin prices after an attempted upward correction)

Since Donald Trump's victory in the presidential race last November, the majority of significant cryptocurrency tokens have either sharply corrected downward or entered a consolidation phase within a sideways range.

One might have expected that the return of President Trump would provide strong support for the cryptocurrency market. His previous favorable statements about the future of this financial sector, along with the launch of a Trump family token, should have sparked a renewed demand for these popular financial assets. However, this did not occur. On the contrary, the enthusiastic growth seen earlier has diminished, and for many assets, it has been completely erased.

This situation once again demonstrates the artificial nature of the factors driving demand for these financial instruments, making trading them a much more complex endeavor compared to the stock and forex markets, which were previously considered the most high-risk.

Returning to the crypto market situation—what prevents token demand from rising? The primary factor is the uncertainty surrounding the future state of the U.S. economy amid Trump's domestic and foreign policies. The threats—and, in some cases, already implemented—tariff increases on Chinese imports create uncertainty about their actual impact on the U.S. In this environment, crypto investors are unsure whether demand for these assets will grow.

Trump's protectionist policies, which have already begun taking effect in the U.S., could become a strong catalyst for increased demand in the stock market, particularly for shares of companies that may surge in the short and medium term. For example, today's 4% rise in copper prices, driven by higher import tariffs on the metal, is expected to support stocks of mining and metallurgical companies. In such a scenario, many token investors may start questioning whether it makes sense to take risks with cryptocurrencies when they could simply buy stocks of these companies and, in addition to potential price appreciation, receive dividends—which isn't a bad deal. This trend could spread across the entire market.

Investors previously accumulated capital in crypto assets, which could easily be shifted to stocks. The role of the U.S. dollar should not be overlooked. Although the dollar is currently facing pressure, the gradual stabilization of the American market, along with Trump's efforts to strengthen the dollar's global position, could lead to increased demand for it.

What about gold? The sharp profit-taking in gold observed yesterday suggests that a potential resolution of tensions between Russia and the West, particularly the U.S., could significantly reduce geopolitical risks—or even neutralize them temporarily. In this scenario, investors may start seeking assets that can generate some interest income, which is something gold cannot provide.

History tells us that the U.S. stock market experienced rapid growth after World War II. A similar situation could unfold in America soon—provided Trump manages to strike a deal with Putin and put the U.S. economy on a growth trajectory.

What can we expect from the cryptocurrency market?

If this scenario unfolds, the crypto market could be pushed to the sidelines, leading to a significant drop in token demand and, consequently, a decline in their value—especially against the U.S. dollar.

What to expect from the markets today?

The U.S. and crypto stock markets will likely consolidate within sideways ranges. As for the dollar, a temporary rebound in the ICE dollar index to 106.75 is possible, but this should not yet be interpreted as a change in the current trend. This week, the market's primary focus is the PCE index report, a key indicator for Fed rate decisions, and the second estimate of U.S. GDP for Q4 2024.

This image is no longer relevant

This image is no longer relevant

Daily Forecast

Gold

Gold has reached our previous target level of 2,903.00. A break below this level could lead to further demand weakness and a decline to 2,876.15.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin remains under significant pressure due to waning interest amid global and U.S. economic developments. The price may correct upwards toward 91,095.00, from which it could rebound and retest the support level of 86,080.70.

Pati Gani,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold prices are maintaining positive momentum for the second consecutive day. Ongoing uncertainty surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump's trade policy and its impact on the global economy continues to weigh

Irina Yanina 19:24 2025-07-10 UTC+2

USD/CHF. Analysis and Forecast

Today, the USD/CHF pair retraced part of its decline from a new weekly low recorded during the Asian session and has temporarily paused its downward movement, stopping short

Irina Yanina 12:26 2025-07-10 UTC+2

Market dupes sellers

The split within the Federal Reserve, NVIDIA's successes, and a successful auction of 10-year US Treasury bonds allowed the S&P 500 to ignore the tariff chaos. Donald Trump announced tariffs

Marek Petkovich 12:02 2025-07-10 UTC+2

What to Watch on July 10th: Fundamental Event Overview for Beginners

Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are very few macroeconomic publications scheduled for Thursday, and none of them are expected to be significant. So what could traders focus on today? The second

Paolo Greco 09:07 2025-07-10 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview on July 10, 2025

On Wednesday, the GBP/USD currency pair maintained its downward movement, which is corrective in nature and could end at any moment. The price remained below the moving average line

Paolo Greco 07:26 2025-07-10 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview on July 10, 2025

The EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade very calmly on Wednesday. The pair maintained a slight downward bias, as we've noted in all of our recent articles. However, the current

Paolo Greco 07:16 2025-07-10 UTC+2

USD/CAD. Analysis and Forecast

Today, the USD/CAD pair is showing signs of recovery, rising toward the 1.3700 level and approaching the weekly high reached earlier. Fundamental factors point to bullish dominance and the potential

Irina Yanina 12:46 2025-07-09 UTC+2

Markets unfazed by Trump's new tariff threats

Donald Trump's bark is louder than his bite. Markets have grown so accustomed to his rhetoric that the S&P 500 barely flinched at the White House's latest threat to slap

Marek Petkovich 11:53 2025-07-09 UTC+2

AUD/USD. Analysis and Forecast

The AUD/USD pair is holding steady at current levels with a bullish bias but limited movement following the release of inflation data from China—Australia's key trading partner. In June

Irina Yanina 11:35 2025-07-09 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

On Wednesday, the Japanese yen extended its decline for the third consecutive day, pushing the USD/JPY pair to a new two-week high above the key 147.00 level during the Asian

Irina Yanina 11:23 2025-07-09 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.