Analisis Forex & Kajian: 09.12.2022 - Bitcoin consolidates above...

09.12.2022 02:48 PM

Bitcoin consolidates above $17k and continues to rise: what to expect this weekend?

Bitcoin spent a few days in a dull sideways movement, gradually declining to the danger zone, which could provoke a decline to the local bottom. However, later on, the buyers managed to keep control over the price movement and consolidate above $17k.

The main factor for growth was the activation of buyers and the final completion of the capitulation phase by mining companies. According to Glassnode, the number of addresses with a balance of 0.1 and 1 BTC has set a new high.

However, the overall situation remains tense due to the uncertainty of Gemini and Genesis. The likely collapse of these companies is forcing large investors to take their time or even abandon investments in cryptocurrencies.

Canadian pension fund CPP Investments has abandoned the idea of investing in crypto companies. The main reason for this was the collapse of FTX and further undermining the credibility of the crypto industry as a whole. In addition, investors continue to sell BTC amid a difficult macroeconomic situation.

Around 33 whales, whose capital reaches from 1,000 to 100,000 BTC, have distributed more than 20,000 BTC in the last 96 hours. This indicates the continuation of the capital distribution phase, which is necessary for the final formation of the local bottom.

In addition, there are significant cash gaps among the largest mining players. This means a high probability of the next stage of the sale from Bitcoin miners.

BTC and the stock market

Bitcoin resumed its upward movement in parallel with the US stock market. The level of co-dependence of the two markets continues to grow, which means that the CIS sector should expect significant price movements in the afternoon with the opening of US markets.

BTC/USD analysis

Bitcoin managed to consolidate above the $17k level thanks to the successful defense of the $16.8k–$17k range. As a result, a false breakdown of this support zone took place, which, as a result, provoked the activation of buyers. As of 11:00 UTC., Bitcoin has formed a bullish engulfing pattern on the daily chart.

At the same time, the cryptocurrency did not manage to go beyond the triangle, but we should expect another round of activation of buyers after the opening of the American markets. The main resistance level remains the $17.6k line, where large sales volumes are concentrated.

Bitcoin's technical metrics have moved into local consolidation after a bullish momentum. This is confirmation that the upward trend is weak despite growing on-chain activity. With that in mind, the opening of the stock market will be a key component of another buying spree.

Results

Bitcoin, thanks to the support of the stock market and the upcoming New Year holidays, is showing the beginnings of an uptrend. However, for the final confirmation of bullish intentions, the cryptocurrency needs to breaks oy of the JJK gain a foothold above $17.6k.

In this case, the price will continue to move to retest the $18k level, and further to $18.4k. However, it is important to note that the upward movement must be accompanied by a parallel increase in on-chain activity . Otherwise, it will mean another major manipulation of market makers.

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