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12.10.2022 09:08 AM
Technical Analysis of ETH/USD for October 12, 2022

Crypto Industry News:

Ethereum's transition to the proof-of-stake mechanism has opened blockchain to criticism from crypto fans. Many believe that because of this, Ethereum has become more centralized and the risk of censorship has increased.

So is Ethereum (ETH) really more centralized and prone to censorship now? Noah Buxton, head of blockchain services at Armanino, answered this question to the online media:

"It seems to me, and I can see it also from our clients, that when choosing a blockchain and where we launch a project or where we will create an NFT, the most important thing is the cost of the operation and the current share of blockchain in a given market and retail sales. The decentralization of a given network is a secondary, if not forgotten factor in the decision-making process "

First of all, customers want low fees for sending and transactions, as well as be sure that a given blockchain has a lot of users. Therefore, the most important thing is the service price (to be as low as possible) and the size of the market (to be as large as possible).

Ethereum, on the other hand, has actually become more centralized after switching to proof-of-stake. Blockchain now relies on validators, not miners, to add new transactions to the network. Validators decide which transactions go to each block and in what order. Electricity consumption has dropped by 99.99% after switching to staking, but hardly anyone realizes that much of the ETH that secures the grid is now in centralized entities.

Technical Market Outlook:

The ETH/USD pair has been seen bouncing again from the demand zone located between the levels of $1,281 - $1,255 after the level of $1,267 was hit. The larger time frame target for bears is seen at the level of $1,100, $1,000 and $990, which means the low from 22th September located at $1,220 should be broken as the down trend will continue. The intraday technical resistance is seen at $1,305 and $1,326 (30 MA). The weak and negative momentum supports the short-term bearish outlook for ETH.

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Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - $1,369

WR2 - $1,346

WR1 - $1,333

Weekly Pivot - $1,322

WS1 - $1,309

WS2 - $1,299

WS3 - $1,275

Trading Outlook:

The Ethereum market has been seen making lower highs and lower low since the swing high was made in the middle of the August at the level of $2,029. The key technical support for bulls is seen at $1,281 as a part of the demand zone located between the levels of $1,252 - $1,295. If the down move will be extended, then the next target for bears is located at the level of $1,000.

Sebastian Seliga,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
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