empty
Equipe InstaForex Loprais - Participante oficial do rali Dakar
Equipe InstaForex Loprais - Participante oficial do rali Dakar
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
Como começar a negociar
Informação útil
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
Sistema PAMM
Sistema ForexCopy
Investimentos passivos
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Página Principal
Área do Parceiro
Vantagens para Afiliados
Registro
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Concursos
Eventos
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Fórums
Estamos nas redes sociais
Humor Forex
Portal Forex
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
História
Porque nos escolher
InstaSport
Regulamentação
Notícias da Empresa
Premiações
Estrelas da InstaForex
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Principais documentos
Responsabilidade Social
15.04.2025 12:35 AM
The Pound Forms a Top
Abrir conta de negociação Abrir conta demo

The British economy grew by 0.5% in February, rebounding from no growth in January and significantly exceeding the forecast of +0.1%. This was the strongest growth in the last 11 months. Industrial production rose 1.5%, while the quarterly services sector activity index added 0.3%.

This positive momentum was later supported by a forecast from NIESR, which expects continued GDP growth and projects a quarterly figure of +0.6%. While monthly data is not a precise indicator, it contributed to a sharp surge in the pound.

This image is no longer relevant

The coming week is no less important—the labor market report is due on Tuesday, followed by the March Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday. The forecast suggests no change (+3.5% y/y), but surprises are possible, especially since NIESR expects that inflation will not peak until June. Until then, prices are expected to rise due to base effects.

The pound appears strong, but it's important to note that expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate path have shifted toward a slower pace of cuts. While traders in March were pricing four rate cuts for the year, they now expect only three. Uncertainty remains high, as it's unclear how significant the economic slowdown in the U.S. will be. A potential recession could completely alter interest and currency exchange rates forecasts.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell's key speech is scheduled for Wednesday, and he is unlikely to avoid commenting on the current economic situation. Late last week, Boston Fed President Susan Collins stated that the Fed is "fully prepared" to intervene and stabilize the currency markets using available tools. In light of recent developments, a drop in forex market volatility should not be expected.

The net long positioning on GBP was halved during the reporting week, going from $2.8 billion to $1.38 billion, and the fair value estimate is moving below the long-term average.

This image is no longer relevant

Despite the impressive rally in recent days, the pound has not broken through the upper boundary of the 1.3200 range. The rise has been driven by a surge in optimism following the delay in the trade war and strong GDP and industrial production figures. Although there is strong bullish momentum, we do not expect it to be sustained. A top will likely form near 1.3200, after which the pound may reverse to the downside. We see an opportunity to sell from current levels with a stop just above 1.3200 and a target of 1.3000. The potential for further decline should be supported by increased demand for safe-haven assets and a decrease in market euphoria.

Kuvat Raharjo,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Selecionar intervalo de tempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
dia
1
s.
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
All Analytics
Wave analysis
Análise do GBP/USD em 17 de junho de 2025 A estrutura de ondas no gráfico do par GBP/USD continua indicando a formação de um padrão impulsivo de alta. O arranjo das ondas é bastante semelhante ao observado no EUR/USD
Chin Zhao
21:31 2025-06-17 +02:00
1120
Wave analysis
Análise do EUR/USD em 17 de junho de 2025 O padrão de ondas no gráfico de 4 horas do EUR/USD continua indicando o desenvolvimento de um segmento de tendência de alta. Essa mudança ocorreu exclusivamente devido à nova política
Chin Zhao
21:26 2025-06-17 +02:00
1120
Últimas Previsões Plano de Negociação Criptomoedas USD/RUB Economia Russa Análise em Vídeo
Instrumentos de Negociação
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

NZD/USD. Análise e previsão

Atualmente, o par NZD/USD está apresentando uma atividade moderada e atraindo compradores. No entanto, uma forte continuação do movimento de alta ainda não se concretizou, já que o mercado permanece
Irina Yanina 20:52 2025-06-17 UTC+2

GBP/USD. Análise e previsão

O par GBP/USD mantém-se firmemente acima do nível psicológico-chave de 1,3500, à espera da divulgação do Índice de Preços ao Consumidor (CPI) do Reino Unido e das próximas reuniões
Irina Yanina 20:48 2025-06-17 UTC+2

Visão Geral do GBP/USD – 17 de Junho: Reuniões do Fed e do BoE como motivo para vender o dólar

Na segunda-feira, o par GBP/USD também apresentou um comportamento relativamente estável, mas com viés de alta. A libra esterlina não atinge novas máximas de três anos todos os dias —
Paolo Greco 20:24 2025-06-17 UTC+2

Crise no Oriente Médio como um prelúdio para uma guerra global... (Possibilidade de queda limitada para o Bitcoin e o EUR/USD)

O impasse sobre os mísseis entre Israel, representante dos EUA, e o Irã continua. A saída inesperada do presidente dos EUA ontem da cúpula do G7 no Canadá gerou especulações
Pati Gani 17:45 2025-06-17 UTC+2

O mercado pode estar caindo na mesma armadilha novamente

A história parece se repetir. Às vésperas do Dia da Independência dos Estados Unidos, muitos participantes do mercado afirmavam que as ameaças de Donald Trump eram mais barulhentas
Marek Petkovich 17:09 2025-06-17 UTC+2

O kiwi não desiste, apesar da fraca economia da Nova Zelândia

Já havíamos observado que a economia da Nova Zelândia apresenta atualmente sinais de fraqueza, e os dados mais recentes não fizeram nada para contrariar essa avaliação. Os índices
Kuvat Raharjo 15:48 2025-06-17 UTC+2

Euro: Previsão semanal

A moeda europeia continua a se beneficiar da fraqueza do dólar americano, que se tornou ainda mais evidente com o retorno de Donald Trump à cena política. Sinceramente, discutir diariamente
Chin Zhao 22:30 2025-06-16 UTC+2

A libra ignora os dados fracos e tenta persistentemente continuar a subir

Os dados macroeconômicos do Reino Unido publicados na semana passada parecem francamente fracos — tudo está na zona vermelha, o que significa pior do que o esperado. No entanto
Kuvat Raharjo 20:46 2025-06-16 UTC+2

Bitcoin dominado pelo medo

A caridade começa em casa — e a lealdade também. Ao que tudo indica, o comprometimento do 47º presidente dos Estados Unidos com o setor cripto tem menos
Marek Petkovich 18:33 2025-06-16 UTC+2

Dólar norte-americano: Previsão semanal

Mais uma vez, o dólar estará em destaque esta semana, não apenas por causa da reunião do Federal Reserve, mas também pelos desdobramentos políticos nos Estados Unidos. O primeiro ponto
Chin Zhao 18:33 2025-06-16 UTC+2
Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.